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Bolivia: Centrist Paz wins presidency

Jon Shelton with AFP, AP
Published October 19, 2025last updated October 20, 2025

For the first time in two decades, the economically ailing South American nation will be run by a center-right capitalist.

Bolivia's presidential candidate for the Christian Democratic Party (PDC), Rodrigo Paz, shares with his supporters during the inauguration ceremony of his campaign house in a Cholet
Paz won over 54% of the vote, Bolivia's Supreme Electoral Tribunal said [FILE: Sept 30, 2025]Image: Jorge Mateo Romay Salinas/Anadolu/picture alliance

Bolivians on Sunday elected a pro-business center-right senator as their new president after two decades of one-party rule by the leftist Movement Toward Socialism (MAS) party.

Rodrigo Paz, secured 54.6% over 45.4% for his rival, right-wing former interim president Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga, in the runoff election

In a victory speech, Paz said his country was "reclaiming its place on the international stage."

"We must open Bolivia to the world and restore its role," the 58-year-old economist-turned-senator added.

Bolivia has been crippled by a shortage of US dollars since 2023, resulting in the country's worst economic crisis in decades — locking Bolivians out of their savings accounts and hampering imports.

Meanwhile, Bolivia's currency, the Boliviano, has lost nearly half its value. Last month inflation hit 23% — its highest level since 1991.

What have Bolivia's presidential hopefuls promised?

Both Quiroga and Paz sought to sell themselves as candidates of change and promise to pivot the country away from two decades of populist economic policy.

The election comes after MAS, founded by former President Evo Morales, was voted out of government in an August 17 election.

The result was seen as an expression of voters' frustration over party infighting as well as national fuel shortages.

Quiroga and Paz had both pledged to fix the exchange rate, restructure state-owned businesses and attract foreign investment.

Quiroga has proposed securing a quick loan from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) coupled with drastic spending cuts, reductions in the size of government and the privatization of industries the state is currently involved in.

Paz wants to avoid help from the IMF by tackling corruption and the country's burgeoning black market while slowly phasing out things such as government fuel subsidies over time, rather than capping them immediately.

Voting in Bolivia's presidential runoff election is mandatoryImage: Juan Karita/AP Photo/picture alliance

Economists say budget cannot be balanced if welfare programs stay 

Both Quiroga and Paz said they want to maintain social welfare programs as they stabilize Bolivia's economy, something economists say cannot be mastered in tandem.

Both also agreed that ending fuel subsidies — which account for more than $2 billion (€1.72 billion) in government funding each year — is key to Bolivia's economic survival.

But they are both keenly aware of how difficult that will be, with citizens and trade unions already threatening unrest should either touch the fuel subsidies.

Though gas propelled Bolivia to great wealth in the early 2000s, exploration and production has since collapsed.

The next opportunity for Bolivia to change its economic trajectory will be to exploit its massive lithium deposits, the largest in the world.

Who is Paz?

The son of a former president, Paz, a relative unknown despite two decades in politics, surprised observers by winning the August election.

Although he beat Quiroga and all other contenders, he did not secure an outright majority, hence the run-off.

Much of Paz's popularity in the vote can be traced back to his running mate, Edmand Lara, who lost his job with the police after a TikTok video of him railing against corruption went viral. Among those attracted to his message were working-class residents in the Bolivian highlands.

Paz and Lara barnstormed the country during their campaign, promising "capitalism for all" and painting themselves in contrast to wealthy Quiroga and his deep-pocketed donors.

Former President Evo Morales profited from the country's gas boom, yet lack of investment and failing to rein in welfare expenditures drove Bolivia off an economic cliffImage: Ernesto Benavides/AFP

What will the election mean for Bolivia's alliances?

Both candidates have made overtures to the US — a massive change after 20 years of anti-American MAS leadership — with each flying to Washington for meetings with President Donald Trump.

"Both candidates running in the runoff election want strong and better relations with the United States, so that's another transformative opportunity," US Secretary of State Marco Rubio said Tuesday at a news conference as Trump welcomed Argentine President Javier Milei — a close ally — and later provided him with a $20 billion (€17.1 billion) loan.

Bolivian city drowns in rubbish

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Edited by: Karl Sexton

Jon Shelton Writer, translator and editor with DW's online news team.
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