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PoliticsBulgaria

Bulgaria exit polls: Incumbent Yotova predicted to win

Karl Sexton | Emmy Sasipornkarn with AFP, AP, dpa
November 1, 2026

Incumbent President Iliana Yotova appears set to win Bulgaria's presidential election runoff. Exit polls put the more Russia-friendly candidate who favors dialogue with Moscow on just over 50% of the vote.

A man votes at a polling station during the second round of the presidential election, in Blagoevgrad, Bulgaria, November 1, 2026
Bulgaria remains sharply divided over its ties with MoscowImage: Stoyan Nenov/REUTERS

Exit polls in Bulgaria suggested on Sunday evening that incumbent president Iliana Yotova had won a presidential runoff.

Yotova, who opposes military aid to Ukraine and favors dialogue with Russia, was projected to win between 50.7% and 52.5% of the vote.

Her rival, former interim Prime Minister Andrey Gyurov, who was backed by reformist pro-Western opposition parties, was predicted to be trailing with between 43.4% and 44%.

If confirmed by official results, Yotova would become Bulgaria's first elected female head of state.

Although Bulgaria's presidency has largely ceremonial duties, the president can appoint interim governments during political crises, serve as commander-in-chief of the armed forces, and veto legislation.

 

Iliana Yotova (left) beat Andrey Gyurov (right) by a narrow margin in the first round on October 25, 2026Image: BGNES

Ukraine war divides Bulgaria

The war in Ukraine was a central issue in the election, with voters heading to the polls amid growing security concerns in the Black Sea, which borders Bulgaria, following a rise in drone attacks targeting commercial vessels.

Yotova presented herself as a "president of peace" who favors dialogue with Moscow.

How Russian aggression is shaping Bulgaria's presidential election

03:54

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In a TV debate before the runoff, Gyurov accused Yotova of avoiding direct criticism of Russia over the Black Sea attacks.

"Russia must stop its aggression so that the next steps can be taken. Let us name the country from which the threats are coming," he said.

In response, Yotova argued that "peace can come only through negotiations," and maintained that continued aid for Ukraine "leads only to more destruction and the deaths of many people on both sides."

Yotova vs Gyurov: Between Russia and the West

If her victory is confirmed, Yotova is expected to pursue a similar approach to Prime Minister Rumen Radev — keeping Bulgaria on its European path while seeking closer ties with Russia and advocating the lifting of sanctions.

A victory would make Yotova the first woman to be elected president of Bulgaria [FILE: October 25, 2026]Image: Valentina Petrova/AP Photo/picture alliance

After casting her vote on Sunday, Yotava said she had voted for her country to become a "strong state within a strong Europe."

But she added that she wanted Bulgaria to have its own foreign policy and "backbone" when defending its national interest.

Gyurov, for his part, said he had voted for "a secure, stable and European Bulgaria."

"Let us choose the future, not the past," he said.

He has repeatedly voiced strong support for Ukraine and signed a security cooperation agreement with Kyiv during his premiership.

Gyurov cast his ballot the south-western town of BlagoevgradImage: Stoyan Nenov/REUTERS
Karl Sexton Writer and editor focused on international current affairs
Emmy Sasipornkarn Multimedia journalist with a focus on Asia
Edited by:Natalie Muller, Kieran Burke
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