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German economy shows green shoots of recovery

August 24, 2021

As the coronavirus lockdown gradually eased in the spring, German consumer demand has helped the economy grow. High public expenditure, meanwhile, blew a big hole in government spending figures.

Shoppers in Düsseldorf
These shoppers in Düsseldorf were among consumers helping to drive the upturnImage: Michael Gstettenbauer/imago images

The German economy grew by 1.6% in the second quarter of 2021, thanks largely to domestic consumer spending as the coronavirus lockdown was relaxed.

The growth has helped Germany's economy emerge from an economic low that saw it contracting earlier in the year.

Meanwhile, German government spending remained in the red, as national, state and local governments shouldered much of the economic burden of the pandemic.

What did the figures show?

The crisis had precipitated a decline in economic performance of minus 2% for the first quarter of 2021.

Gross Domestic Product rose by 1.6% between April and June compared with the previous quarter, according to figures released by the Federal Statistical Office on Tuesday.

As lockdown restrictions were reduced coming into spring, final consumption expenditure in the second quarter of 2021 was markedly up compared with the beginning of the year.

Lessons from the coronavirus pandemic

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Two key factors helped fuel the rebound. Household final consumption expenditure increased by 3.2% on the first quarter, while one measure of government expenditure rose by 1.8%.

The effects of the pandemic still appear marked, though. Compared with the fourth quarter of 2019 — the quarter before the coronavirus crisis began — GDP was 3.3% lower.

'Dark side' of recovery

Government spending to cushion the economic blow of the crisis left an €80.9 billion ($95 billion) hole in public finances for the first half of 2021.

The amount equated to a public sector deficit of 4.7% of GDP — the largest in 26 years.

The ING bank's chief economist, Carsten Brzeski, told the DPA news agency that he saw the large public deficit as the "dark side of the rapid economic recovery."

"As a result of the state shouldering the bulk of the economic damage caused by the pandemic, the economy will have returned to pre-crisis levels before the end of the year," said the economist.

"However, the state budget will be still further burdened," he said.

Richard Connor Reporting on stories from around the world, with a particular focus on Europe — especially Germany.
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