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How can Volcanic Eruptions be Predicted?

December 15, 2023

Volcanic eruptions are part and parcel of Earth's history. Some eruptions have a global impact. What causes magma to rise to the surface? How can eruptions be predicted?

Italien I Ätna spuckt Lava und Asche
Image: Etna Walk/Giuseppe Di Stefano/Marco Restivo/REUTERS

Researchers are working to better understand when and how a volcano blows its top.

 

Image: kamchatka/YAY Images/IMAGO

Magma mysteries – How volcanos erupt

Molten and semi-molten magma flows under the Earth's surface, hidden from our view. But researchers can simulate its formation in the laboratory to study and better understand how magma behaves.

 

 

 

 

 

Image: Felice De Martino/Italy Photo Press/IMAGO

The enormous supervolcano that’s hidden from sight

The Campi Flegrei west of Naples in Italy is a caldera -- a cauldron-like hollow -- that spans more than 150 square kilometers. The area has a lot of seismic activity and the floor of the caldera is rising, triggering concerns that it might erupt.

 

 

 

 

 

Image: Giuseppe Di Stefano/AP Photo/picture alliance

Simulated eruptions - Explosions in the laboratory

When does a volcano explode? And when does it erupt more gently, without an explosion? It's a question volcanologists are seeking to answer. No one can look inside a volcanic vent. But laboratory experiments can show how magma erupts and explodes.

 

 

 

 

Image: picture alliance/AP/Iwan Setiyawan

Tambora 1815 – Super explosion with global impact

1816 became known in Europe as the "Year Without a Summer". The year before, Indonesia’s Mount Tambora had erupted in a huge explosion. Ash from the volcano darkened skies around the globe, resulting in failed harvests, famine and epidemics.

 

 

 

 

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