While deforestation rates fell by nearly 50% in 2023, the Amazon continues to battle critical threats.

In recent months, it has suffered a devastating drought and record wildfires, which release large amounts of planet-heating greenhouse gases. Fire alerts are 79% higher than average for this time of year. 

The Amazon has shrunk by the size of France and Germany in the last four decades, according to a report last month, with researchers noting an "alarming increase" in forest land cleared for mining, agriculture or livestock farming.

Scientists fear up to half the rainforest could hit a "tipping point" by 2050 due to unprecedented stress from warming temperatures, extreme drought, deforestation and wildfires. They warn crossing this threshold could intensify regional climate change and risk the Amazon becoming permanently degraded or turning into savanna.

Who should pay for the Amazon's protection?  

The vast rainforest is not only a source of immense biodiversity, its trees and soil store the equivalent of 15-20 years of CO2 emissions and help stabilize the Earth's temperatures.

The Brazilian Amazon alone generates an annual value of $317 billion (€284 billion), based largely on the value it holds to the world as a carbon store, according to data from the World Bank. This far surpasses the $43 billion-$98 billion (€38.6 billion-€88 billion) estimated value of clearing the rainforest for timber, farming or mining.  

Jack Hurd, executive director of the Tropical Forest Alliance, which supports companies in removing deforestation from their supply chains, sees a global responsibility to preserve the Amazon so it can continue to provide "goods and services for now and into the future."

Although nearly two-thirds of the Amazon lies in Brazil, the vast rainforest spans eight countries, including Colombia, Peru and Bolivia. 

Jessica Villanueva, senior manager in sustainable finance Americas at WWF, emphasized the need for multiple actors in funding protection, "Efforts must unite all eight Amazon countries, including governments, companies, and financial institutions," she said.

G20 promises landmark funding for 'ecosystem services'  

After Brazil proposed establishing a global trust fund for forest conservation, environment ministers of the Group of 20 nations agreed this month to create financial sources for so-called ecosystem services.  

Put forward by the Brazilian government at COP28, the initiative, known as the Tropical Forests Forever Facility (TFFF), creates a global fund to pay for the maintenance and restoration of tropical forests in over 60 countries.  

In contrast to the Amazon Fund that rewards Brazil when it reduces deforestation, the TFFF aims to benefit all tropical forest nations through an annual fixed payment for each hectare of standing forest. By contrast, deforested or degraded land will result in a reduction of the amount received. 

Local and Indigenous communities are to be paid for maintaining ecosystems that "benefit everyone," João Paulo Capobianco, executive secretary of Brazil's environment minister, told journalists following the meeting of ministers in Rio de Janeiro. 

Other global funds helping the Amazon?  

The largest global fund is the Amazon Fund, set up by the Brazilian government in 2008 to raise international donations for the reduction of deforestation and forest degradation. 

To date, it has received over $1.4 billion, with Norway and Germany the largest donors. Switzerland, the US, the UK, Japan and the Brazilian-owned oil and gas company Petrobras have also contributed.Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva revived the fund when he took office in 2023 after Western donors paused contributions during the term of previous leader Jair Bolsonaro, who oversaw a sharp rise in deforestation rates. 

The fund, which is managed by the Brazilian Development Bank, finances a range of projects including those related to wildfire prevention, support for Indigenous lands and conservation areas, as well as sustainable development and monitoring environmental crime. It claims it has extended protected areas of the forest with strengthened environmental management by 74 million hectares.

However, while the Amazon Fund is important, it does not provide the level of financing needed to fully protect the region, said Cristiane Fontes, executive director of global research nonprofit World Resources Institute Brazil.

Where else is money coming from? 

In addition to the Amazon Fund there are also tens of millions of dollars going into the region largely from foundations and bilateral agencies, said Hurd, who is also a member of the World Economic Forum executive committee.

An estimated nearly $5.81 billion has been allocated to protection and sustainable management by international donors since 2013, according to a recent study. Funders include bilateral and multilateral agencies, private foundations, NGOs and companies.

Germany, Norway and the United States made up almost half of donations between 2020-2022 and private foundations, such as the Bezos Earth Fund, accounted for a quarter. National governments in the Amazon region received 30% of these funds, followed by NGOs. 

While there is no readily available information on public funding figures, protection is mostly financed by public money and multilateral donors, said Andrea Carneiro, conservation strategist from the US-based environmental organization Rainforest Trust. She added there are various financing gaps, including for protection in Bolivia and Peru, as well as management funds for Indigenous territories. 

However, gaining an accurate overview of how much money is flowing into protection is difficult, Hurd said. "You're going to see a range of estimates as to what's actually going into this, because people are counting things in different ways."

Notions of protection differ depending on whether they are dealing with Amazon land that is intact, degraded or cleared for activities like mining or agriculture, he continued. "This is not just about 'here's a protected forest that we need to cordon off and figure out how to manage,' like a national park might be in Europe or North America." 

What more needs to be done? 

To prevent the Amazon from reaching a tipping point, the global donor community, public budgets and the private sector need to urgently increase their commitments, said Villanueva at WWF. 

Maintaining 80% of the region within conservation areas — which would include Indigenous lands — would require between $1.7 billion-$2.8 billion annually as well as $1-1.6 billion in establishment costs, according to one recent estimate. 

As public financing alone will not be enough to close the funding gap, governments need to implement financial regulations and incentives to encourage companies to move toward an economy with zero deforestation, Villanueva said. "It is imperative to attract private investors and build the capacity of nature-based solution projects to leverage private capital."

What's needed is to find ways to honor the value of standing forests and transition to a more sustainable economic model in the region, said Fontes at the World Resources Institute Brazil. A recent report from the WRI highlighted that transitioning to a deforestation-free economy which includes low-emissions agriculture and forest restoration would require around 1% of Brazil's GDP per year, amounting to around US $533 billion by 2050.

Alongside the Tropical Forests Forever Facility that now has the support of the G20, another long-term solution for Amazon protection can be found in the urisdictional REDD+ (JREDD) funding mechanism, said José Otavio Passos, Amazon director at US-based environmental organization The Nature Conservancy . Through JREDD, companies or governments provide payments to states or nations for deforestation reductions across large areas in return for verified carbon credits.

Last month, the World Bank also announced a $225 million Amazon reforestation bond that links financial returns for investors to carbon removal from the atmosphere.  

"There is a lot that the rich countries can do. There is a lot that the Brazilian government can do. There's a lot that the private sector can do, and we need to do it faster. Every one of us," said Passos. 

Edited by: Tamsin Walker

This article was updated following the agreement of G20 environment ministers.