The latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report details a widespread climate catastrophe, along with ways to address — and fund — adaptation and resilience in vulnerable regions.
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A stark picture of an unfolding climate crisis that is especially impacting vulnerable communities fills the latest report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the United Nations body for assessing the science related to climate change.
"The most striking thing about this report is the reality that climate impacts are already unfolding in really ghastly, deadly ways around the world [and] already having profound impacts on food systems. So this is not about some future that's yet to come, it's already here in many places," said Rachel Cleetus, policy director and lead economist for the Climate and Energy Program at the Washington, D.C.-based Union of Concerned Scientists.
"Today's IPCC report is an atlas of human suffering and a damning indictment of failed climate leadership," said UN Secretary-General, Antonio Guterres.
Themed on climate impacts, adaptation and vulnerability, the second installment of the IPCC's sixth assessment report builds on a first edition focused on the physical science of climate systems and intensifying climate change.
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Climate impacts already unfolding
Authored by 270 scientists who assessed over 34,000 studies, the report singles out Africa, Asia, Central and South America, small island nations and the Arctic as areas that are especially being impacted by heatwaves, droughts, floods and rising seas — weather extremes that are also driving biodiversity loss and mass mortalities in species such as trees and corals.
In Africa, for example, climate change has caused a 34% reduction in agricultural productivity since 1961, which is more than any other region, according to the report. Future warming is expected to shorten growing seasons and worsen water stress.
"Somalia has been the hardest hit by climate change in the globe," said Walter Mawere, the advocacy and communications coordinator for humanitarian NGO Care International in Somalia. He describes over 2,400 camps for the internally displaced in the country that are filling with families fleeing an ongoing drought, and previous extreme flooding.
"The flooding has left 70% of the population without access to clean water," he explained during a briefing preceding the report's release.
2021's biggest climate moments
Another year of extreme weather, including unprecedented wildfires and floods, has sparked anger about the climate crisis. But landmark court rulings to cut emissions also gave hope.
Image: Carlo Allegri/REUTERS
January: New year starts without a bang
Many countries around the world banned the usual New Year's fireworks to relieve pressure on hospitals swamped with COVID-19 cases. For Germany, that meant an estimated 3,500 tons of plastic waste saved. In Amsterdam, the taboo on home pyrotechnics looks set to endure, with the city organizing public displays instead.
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February: Arctic chill in Europe
Europe and North America saw plunging temperatures, with many regions blanketed in deep snow. Arctic warming caused dips in the polar vortex and a weaker jet stream, conspiring to send chilly Arctic air south. Disruption of the jet stream can also have the reverse effect, sending warm air up from the tropics. We're yet to see which trend will dominate as the planet continues to heat up.
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March: Australian deluge
Thousands of people had to leave their homes after heavy rain flooded towns in eastern Australia. Gladys Berejiklian, then the premier of New South Wales, a state that was particularly affected, called the inundation a "one-in-100-year event." Some commentators argued that this kind of flooding is in fact becoming the new normal.
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April: German court rules for future
Europe's biggest economy was given a reality check by its Constitutional Court, which declared the German Climate Protection Act unconstitutional for failing to include climate targets beyond 2030. The court said this would place too great a burden on future generations. The Bundestag toughened up the legislation with a commitment to go climate-neutral by 2045.
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May: Oil giant held to account
In another landmark ruling, a district court in The Hague, Netherlands, ordered Shell to cut its CO2 emissions by 45% by 2030, in line with the Paris Agreement on climate change. It was the first time a private company has been legally forced to comply with the global agreement. "This applies to the entire world, so also to Shell," the judge said.
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June: Infernal temperatures
More than 230 people died during a heat wave in Canada, with record temperatures of nearly 50 degrees Celsius (122 F) recorded in Lytton, British Columbia. The following day, forest fires reduced much of the village to ash. This was also a summer of devastating blazes for California, Mediterranean countries such as Greece and Turkey, and Siberia and the Amazon.
In Central Europe, catastrophic heavy rain turned streams into raging rivers that inundated towns and villages as they burst their banks. In Germany's Rhineland, more than 180 people lost their lives. Parts of Belgium, the Netherlands and the southern German state of Baden-Württemberg also suffered extreme floods. Property damage in Germany alone was estimated at several billion euros.
Image: Wolfgang Rattay/REUTERS
August: No room left for denial
The UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change released a report with an unequivocal message: The climate crisis is worse than we thought and humans are definitely to blame. The IPCC's assessment reports are the most detailed and comprehensive on the topic, in this case drawing on more than 14,000 peer-reviewed studies.
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September: China reins in coal abroad
At the UN General Assembly, Premier Xi Jinping announced that China would no longer build coal-fired power plants abroad — putting an end to a construction spree that has already seen hundreds of Chinese-backed coal power projects go up as part of its Belt and Road Initiative through Asia, the Middle East, Africa and Europe. But Beijing continues to build new coal power plants at home.
Image: Mary Altaffer/REUTERS
October: Recording greenhouse gas figures
Concentrations of greenhouse gasses in the atmosphere reached a new record in 2020. According to the report by the World Meteorological Organization, the year-on-year increase was higher than the average increase over the past decade, despite the economic fallout of the pandemic. The WMO announced the figures with the warning that "we are way off track" for the Paris Agreement targets.
Image: Oleg Novitsk/ITAR-TASS/imago images
November: COP26 minces its words on coal
After a pandemic hiatus, the UN Climate Change Conference was back in 2021, but it struggled to decide the details of the Glasgow Climate Pact. With India and China resisting a commitment to phase out coal, the final text agreed only to a "phasedown." For many, this was hugely disappointing, though not necessarily surprising. Greta Thunberg had already declared COP26 "a global greenwash festival."
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December: Deadly tornadoes in the US
With the year drawing to a close, the US was hit by more extreme weather as 36 tornadoes swept through six states and left devastation in their wake. Homes and businesses were demolished, while dozens of people were killed. President Biden announced an investigation into global heating's impact on the tornadoes. Soonafter, nearly 400 people died in the Philippines after Typhoon Rai hit.
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The IPCC report is also "a dire warning about the consequences of inaction," said Hoesung Lee, Chair of the IPCC. "Our actions today will shape how people adapt and nature responds to increasing climate risks."
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Equity and justice through climate adaptation — and financing
In response to worsening global climate impacts, the report specifically refers to "equity and justice" for impacted communities — and especially vulnerable communities in less economically countries.
"The recognition of justice is integral to the way we address the climate crisis," said Rachel Cleetus. The report therefore looks at socioeconomic and structural factors that cause some populations "to be disproportionately impacted by climate change," she added.
After the perceived failure of COP26 to commit funds to address adaptation, and rising climate-driven loss and damage, the report details the need for greater climate financing.
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Currently, however, more than 90% of climate funds go to mitigation rather than adaptation — which is "way below most estimates of the cost of adaptation needed today to manage the risks of climate change over the next ten to 20 years," said IPCC report lead author Mark New, who is director of the African Climate and Development Initiative at the University of Cape Town.
Meanwhile, only about 10 to 15% of available adaptation finance is made available to climate vulnerable local communities, according to New.
The report calls for a balance of climate finance to be invested in adaptation.
"Adaptation and mitigation must be pursued with equal force and urgency," said Antonio Guterres.
Building on the renewed focus on adaptation at COP26, the IPCC reconfirms the need for richer nations to "provide higher levels of financial support for adapting to climate shocks … and addressing the costs of loss and damage experienced by poorer countries," said Camilla Toulmin, Senior Fellow, International Institute for Environment & Development.
The world's poorest people "contribute least to the problem of climate change" yet suffer the most devastating impacts, she added.
In Sub-Saharan Africa, for example, the average per capita carbon footprint in 2020 is around 0.1 tons per year compared to up to 15 tons in Australia, Canada and the US.
Adaption through 'healthy ecosystems'
The report also focuses on the importance of reversing the threat to biodiversity as part of adaptation.
"Protecting and restoring nature will help store more of the carbon we emit, and make our landscapes more resilient to the growing extremes that climate change inflicts on every species on our planet," said Kate Jones, chair of ecology & biodiversity, University College London.
"This report recognizes the interdependence of climate, biodiversity and people," said Hoesung Lee.
Promoting "healthy ecosystems" is another important adaptation measure aimed at fostering climate resilience by ensuring reliable access to food and clean water.
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"By restoring degraded ecosystems and effectively and equitably conserving 30 to 50 per cent of Earth's land, freshwater and ocean habitats, society can benefit from nature's capacity to absorb and store carbon," said IPCC Working Group II Co-Chair Hans-Otto Pörtner of the ecosystems-based approach.
He added, however, that "adequate finance and political support are essential."
War and climate crises 'connected'
Looking ahead to November's COP27, the first climate conference to be hosted in Africa, Toulmin was encouraged by the fact that the Africa chapter in the report was, for the first time, authored exclusively by regional experts who can provide "African negotiators with a much stronger case."
Meanwhile, Russia's invasion of Ukraine inevitably influenced the final review of the IPCC report, with Ukraine's delegation of authors having to withdraw from the process to hide in bunkers.
"There's this connection," said Svitlana Krakovska, a climate scientist heading the Ukrainian delegation, of the role of oil and gas in simultaneously unfolding war and climate crises. "All the money for this aggression comes from oil, from fossil fuels. The more we use this, the more we sponsor this aggression," she said.
Edited by: Tamsin Walker
Senegal: Historic city and livelihoods lost to rising sea
The stunning coastal city of Saint-Louis is at greater risk from rising sea levels than any other in Africa. Rich architectural heritage and traditional coastal livelihoods are vanishing under the growing tide.
Image: Joost Bastmeijer
At the water's edge in Senegal
This is the port of Saint-Louis in Senegal. The city was built in the 17th century for its strategic coastal position at the mouth of the Senegal River and was the capital of French West Africa until 1902. But these days, its proximity to the ocean is a threat. The UN has warned that the city is at greater risk from rising sea levels than any other in Africa.
Image: Joost Bastmeijer
World Heritage washed away
Mouhamadou Moussa Gaye, a schoolteacher, looks out over Guet Ndar, a district of Saint-Louis and a UNESCO World Heritage site. Guet Ndar occupies a long peninsula called the Langue de Barbarie that separates the estuary of the Senegal River from the open ocean. The school where Gaye used to teach, as well as mosques and homes on the peninsula, have already been lost to coastal erosion.
Image: Joost Bastmeijer
A school in ruins
Being designated a UNESCO World Heritage site doesn't mean much to Mother Nature. Here even the most basic public facilities can fall prey to the ocean's water. The pupils who used to attend the destroyed school have been transferred to three other schools in the city. Yet when lessons are over, they still come to play among the ruins of their old classrooms.
Image: Joost Bastmeijer
Erosion takes homes
In 2003, the authorities dug a channel through the Langue de Barbarie so water could flow out of the estuary and away from Saint-Louis when the Senegal River threatened to flood. But their bid to protect the city backfired. Water flowed both ways, eroding the banks of the channel until it opened into a huge gulf, taking 800 meters of the Guet Ndar beach, as well as neighboring villages, with it.
Image: Joost Bastmeijer
A vanished village
Ahmet Sene Diagne used to live in one such village. Now, as he navigates the water along the coast from Saint-Louis in a "pirogue" with his son, he recalls how he went to the town hall to warn against excavating the channel, but officials didn't listen. "They didn't believe me," Diagne says. "They asked me to show my diplomas, but I don't have any. I live in the bush."
Image: Joost Bastmeijer
No future in fishing
Now, all that can be seen of Diagne's village is the stump of a tree that once stood in the central square — the tree that Diagne got married under. His family is of the Lebu ethnic group, who have fished for generations. Now their coastal communities have been destroyed and Diagne says there's no future in fishing. He hopes a good education will give his sons other options.
Image: Joost Bastmeijer
The old colonial seawall
Latyr Fall, deputy mayor of Saint-Louis, stands on the old seawall that once protected his city. "It dates back to 1930 and was built by the French colonists," he says. But he is unequivocal that the threat to Saint-Louis is from climate change — and the sea level rise since colonial times calls for new measures to protect the coast. "The wall no longer protects us."
Image: Joost Bastmeijer
Building a new protective dike
The Senegalese government is building a new dike that will be 3 kilometers (1.15 miles) long and 20 meters (65 feet) wide to protect Guet Ndar from further coastal destruction. But to accommodate this massive structure, many of the remaining houses on the endangered coastline will have to be demolished to make room for the new construction project.
Image: Joost Bastmeijer
Lives displaced far from the sea
With funding from the World Bank and France, shelters have been built to house those whose homes have already been lost to the rising tide and those displaced to make way for the dike. Some 10 kilometers inland at Diougop, the displaced residents complain the shelters are sweltering during the day and cold at night, and there aren't enough toilets.
Image: Joost Bastmeijer
Born from the water
Ahmet Sene Diagne now lives in a settlement called Jel Mbaam, where he grows and sells his own produce. On the wall of his home, hangs a map showing where his village used to be before it was submerged. He still doesn't trust the authorities to protect the coast. "They should involve the people from here in their plans because we are the ones who live here, and were born from this water," he says.