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PoliticsUkraine

Risks posed by hole in protective shell over Chernobyl

Lilia Rzheutska
March 29, 2025

When it was erected in 2019, the giant shell over the damaged nuclear reactor in Chernobyl was one of the biggest structures ever moved by humans. In February a Russian drone put a hole in it.

Two people on the protective shell, which has a hole in it
The protective shell has only been in place since 2019Image: Efrem Lukatsky/AP Photo/picture alliance

For weeks, the Ukrainian authorities have been looking for ways to repair a large hole in the protective shell that covers the fourth reactor of the decommissioned Chernobyl nuclear plant. On February 14, a Russian drone hit the structure, which is called the New Safe Confinement, or NSC, because it is meant to "confine" the reactor's radioactive remains. The drone started a fire that caused considerable damage and was only extinguished three weeks later on March 7.

"The main mission is to close the hole, which is about 15 square meters [around 162 square feet] in size, but also the more than 200 small holes that the State Emergency Service of Ukraine drilled into the shell during firefighting operations," said Hryhoriy Ishchenko, the head of the State Agency of Ukraine on Exclusion Zone Management, which is responsible for the area around the Chernobyl power plant.

He told DW that experts would soon be arriving on site to examine the structure and that "preliminary recommendations on the repair work should be available within a month."

Ukrainians prepare for nuclear disaster near Chernobyl

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A €1.5 billion megaproject

The NSC was erected over a pre-existing protective shell called the sarcophagus, which is there to prevent the release of radioactive contaminants from the reactor, which exploded in 1986. The NSC was built after 45 donor countries came together and gathered around €1.5 billion for the project. Eventually 10,000 people from 40 countries would play a part in the shell, which took 12 years, from the signing of contracts to the moment the NSC was ready in 2019. 

Ishchenko pointed out that there was still no preliminary estimate of the damage caused by the Russian attack. Research institutes involved in the investigation would provide estimates, he added.

"Radiation levels are normal" Ishchenko said. "The staff is still working normally too. Only the pressure regulation system is no longer functioning, and slightly higher humidity levels have been detected. This is because of the impact and the drop in pressure below the shell, which is no longer sealed."

Although experts say the drop in pressure in the NSC does not pose any immediate threat, there are other dangers. Dmytro Humeniuk, a safety analysis expert at  Ukraine's State Scientific and Technical Center for Nuclear and Radiation Safety said it was currently impossible to dismantle the old sarcophagus. The NSC was built in part to replace the old shell but inside the old shell, there are still 18 unstable beams. Three of the main beams could reportedly collapse at any time. If this were to happen under the new-but-now-damaged protective structure, radioactive dust could be stirred up and radioactivity released, Humeniuk said. "The protective shell is currently not fulfilling its function, which is to contain the nuclear fission products beneath it."

Hryhoriy Ishchenko is in charge of the state agency that runs the exclusion zone around ChernobylImage: State Agency of Ukraine on Exclusion Zone Management

No need to stockpile iodine 

Despite this, experts in Ukraine say that people should not start stockpiling iodine tablets or start worrying about evacuation. What they do regret, however, is that the efforts of the international community, which collected funds to build the NSC, have gone to waste.

"It is impossible to weld and repair the damaged shelter on site because the radiation levels there are very high and the workers would be contaminated," Humeniuk explained. "The protective shelter was constructed some distance away and then with the use of rails it was slid over the old sarcophagus. Now that the rails have been dismantled, we will have to do something else."

For Jan Vande Putte, a nuclear expert at Greenpeace Ukraine, there are very few options. "Due to the high radiation levels above the sarcophagus, the entire Chernobyl protective shell will probably have to be moved back to the place where it was built on rails before the expensive repairs can be carried out," he said adding that the costs of doing this were completely unknown.

Representatives of the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development visited Chernobyl on March 18 and spoke with the power plant's directors, according to a report on the power plant's website. They also inspected the technical units of the NSC and the area under the protective shell.

After the meeting, €400,000 from the International Chernobyl Cooperation Account, which the European Bank manages, was approved for a specialist-led damage assessment.

This article was originally published in Ukrainian.

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